Digital Asset Treasuries vs Crypto Venture Funding in 2025

Public and private companies have raised over $15 billion for DAT strategies in 2025 (YTD through Aug. 21) – eclipsing the roughly $6–8 billion raised in traditional crypto venture equity deals. This marks a pivotal shift in crypto capital allocation, as firms pivot to holding crypto on their balance sheets rather than backing startups.

DAT Definition – A New Corporate Strategy

Digital Asset Treasuries are corporate entities (often micro-cap public companies) that raise capital primarily to acquire and hold cryptocurrency as treasury reserves. Unlike ETFs or funds, these are operating companies that adopt crypto (e.g., Bitcoin or altcoins) as a primary reserve asset, seeking to benefit from crypto price appreciation and on-chain yields. For example, MicroStrategy (rebranded as “Strategy”) is the first and largest Bitcoin treasury company, now holding over 580,000 BTC on its balance sheet.

Not an ETF – Key Distinctions

DATs differ from passive investment vehicles. They are not spot ETFs, trusts, or hedge funds – there is no direct redemption of shares for crypto, and they often pursue strategic initiatives (staking, validating, etc.). They also differ from crypto miners and exchanges, whose crypto holdings derive from business operations, and from protocol token treasuries or corporate treasuries that include crypto acquired with existing cash (as opposed to raised funds). DATs explicitly raise new funding to buy crypto for long-term holding, effectively acting as operating businesses with a crypto-centric treasury strategy.

2025 YTD Fundraising Trajectory

Capital raising for DATs accelerated dramatically in mid-2025. Monthly DAT funding peaked around $6.2 billion in July 2025, fueled by a few mega-deals in Bitcoin and large-cap altcoins. In total, over 20 public companies initiated DAT programs, raising >$15B through August. In contrast, traditional crypto venture deal flow fell sharply – only 856 startup VC deals in 2025 YTD, down 56% from 1,933 in the same period 2024. (Venture funding by dollar was ~$8.05B, roughly flat year-on-year, but that 2025 figure includes a one-off $2B Binance deal; excluding it, VC funding was ~$6.05B, ~26% lower YoY.) This suggests DATs have overtaken venture financing in scale, at least temporarily, as investors redirect capital.

Drivers – Liquidity, Premiums, and Accounting Changes

Several factors are motivating issuers and investors.

1. Instant Liquidity: Investing via a public DAT offers liquidity and mark-to-market pricing, unlike traditional illiquid venture bets.

2. NAV Premium “Flywheel”: Many DAT stocks trade at a premium to the market value of their crypto holdings (mNAV). Investors are, in effect, paying extra for immediate exposure. This premium enables DAT companies to issue more shares at high valuations to buy more crypto, boosting NAV per share in a self-reinforcing cycle.

3. Favorable Accounting: U.S. GAAP just adopted fair-value accounting for crypto (FASB ASU 2023-08, effective 2025), meaning companies can mark crypto assets to market each quarter with gains/losses in earnings. This eliminates the old impairment-charge problem and gives more P&L transparency, making finance chiefs more comfortable with crypto reserves.

4. ETF Proxy and Strategic Narrative: Some firms pitch themselves as “operating” alternatives to a spot ETF – offering equity upside, potential tech tie-ins, and the cachet of a “Bitcoin/Altcoin strategy” narrative that public equity investors sometimes reward with higher multiples.

Altcoins in Focus – Beyond Bitcoin

While Bitcoin remains the primary asset in many treasuries, 2025’s boom saw a surprising pivot to alternative tokens. Firms targeted high-growth layer-1 and protocol tokens: e.g., Hyperliquid’s HYPE token (a DeFi exchange token) became the second-most acquired asset, with ~$1.5B committed across multiple treasuries. Others include Sui (SUI) and Solana (SOL) for their staking yields, Toncoin (TON) via a Telegram-affiliated deal, Binance Coin (BNB), Fetch.ai (FET) (AI token), and others – often with support or partnership from the token’s foundation. This diversification indicates companies are seeking outsized returns (and sometimes yield) from altcoins, not just the “digital gold” stability of Bitcoin.

Notably, some altcoin treasuries were arranged with the token issuers: for instance, U.S.-listed Upexi received Solana tokens from investors in exchange for notes, and ALT5 Sigma took in $750M of Trump-linked WLFI tokens from the token’s foundation as part of a $1.5B treasury deal. These partnerships show foundations leveraging DAT vehicles to distribute their tokens into public markets.

Market Sizing: DAT vs. Crypto VC in 2025 YTD

Year-to-date through August 2025, Digital Asset Treasury raises have overtaken traditional crypto venture funding by dollar volume. The chart below (hypothetical) illustrates monthly capital raised for DAT strategies versus non-DAT venture deals in the crypto/blockchain sector:

Monthly Trend (2025)

DAT fundraising started the year modestly but surged in Q2 and Q3 2025, peaking at about $6.2 billion in July 2025. In contrast, venture funding (equity investments in crypto startups, excluding token sales) has trended downward each quarter. April–July saw DATs dramatically out-raising VC as several mega-treasury deals closed. For example, July’s ~$6.2B DAT total dwarfed venture deal values that month (VC was roughly $1B in July, continuing a slump) – a clear inflection where public market money flows into crypto via treasuries far exceeded private venture injections. August 2025 DAT raises are on track to remain high (nearly $2–3B in first weeks, thanks to the TON and WLFI deals), while VC funding shows no major uptick.

YTD Cumulative Totals

By mid-August 2025, companies had raised over $15 billion for digital asset treasury initiatives. In comparison, traditional crypto venture financing for startups totaled an estimated $6.05 billion in the same period (Jan–Aug), when excluding the extraordinary $2B Binance ecosystem fund deal. Even if we include that outlier, venture is ~$8.05B – still roughly half of DAT capital. In deal count terms, 856 venture deals were recorded YTD, indicating an average deal size around $7–8M, whereas DAT raises often came in large single chunks (several $100M+ deals). This highlights how a few big treasury transactions have swung the balance of funding.

One-off Mega Raises Influence Totals

It’s important to note that both categories had outliers. On the VC side, Binance’s $2B fundraise (March 2025) skewed Q1 totals upward. On the DAT side, ALT5 Sigma’s $1.5B (Aug) and Mill City’s combined $950M (Jul/Aug) heavily boosted the treasury tally. The chart (if shown) would present two versions of cumulative totals – with and without the Binance deal – to show that even on a normalized basis, DAT funding now slightly leads.

Geographical Split

Nearly 90%+ of DAT capital in 2025 has been raised on U.S. markets (Nasdaq and NYSE American), as the U.S. is home to most public microcaps pivoting to crypto. A few deals occurred elsewhere: e.g., Canada saw some activity (Toronto’s Ether Capital added to its ETH treasury, albeit on a smaller scale), and Asia had instances like Hong Kong–listed IVD Medical buying $19M in ETH for treasury. But broadly, the U.S. has been the epicenter – likely due to U.S. capital markets depth and regulatory arbitrage (U.S. rules allow such pivots under disclosure requirements, whereas some other jurisdictions might impose stricter oversight or shareholder approval requirements). Europe had minimal direct DAT fundraising, partly awaiting regulatory clarity under MiCA (discussed later), though European venture funding for crypto (not shown here) also declined in H1 2025.

Crypto Market Impact

The influx of $15B into crypto assets via treasuries has provided price support and liquidity, especially for the specific tokens acquired. For example, Ether treasuries collectively accumulated over 3 million ETH by August, contributing to ETH’s rally above $4,300 (ETH held by treasury firms was 3.04M, ~$13B value). Similarly, Bitcoin-focused treasuries (dominated by MicroStrategy’s continuous buying) added thousands of BTC – MicroStrategy alone bought ~4,020 BTC in May using $427M from its ATM stock sale. These purchases by DATs have arguably been a tailwind for crypto prices in 2025, offsetting some of the sell pressure from venture investors distributing tokens.

VC Deal Mix vs. DAT

Traditional crypto venture deals in 2025 have also changed in character. With fewer deals closing (especially at early stage), the stage mix skewed later – many VC dollars went into supporting more mature projects or distressed situations, rather than seed rounds. The median crypto VC round size YTD rose to ~$8M (up from ~$4M in 2024), and the 75th percentile round is ~$25M (reflecting some larger Series B/C raises that did occur). Meanwhile, DAT raises are more binary (each is a single large “round” for a public company). DAT capital is often deployed immediately into liquid tokens, whereas venture dollars sit with startups potentially for years. This immediacy gives DAT capital a different market footprint (immediate buy orders on exchanges or OTC desks for tokens) compared to venture capital (which goes into payroll, R&D, etc.).

Segmentation Analysis of DAT Deals (2025 YTD)

By Geography

The United States dominates DAT issuance in 2025. Of the top ~20 treasury-raising companies, at least 15 are U.S.-incorporated and listed on U.S. exchanges (Nasdaq or NYSE). These include MicroStrategy/“Strategy”, Marathon Digital, Riot Platforms (Bitcoin treasuries as part of their operations), and the new wave of altcoin pivots like Eyenovia (Hyperion), Lion Group, SharpLink, Mill City, etc. The U.S. regulatory environment, while complex, has not explicitly barred corporate crypto holdings, enabling these moves under standard SEC disclosure (with fair value accounting now in play).

Asia is the second region: for example, Singapore-based Lion Group Holding tapped U.S. markets (Nasdaq: LGHL) for its $600M facility, and China-based Windtree Therapeutics (actually a U.S.-listed biotech originally) pursued a BNB strategy. Hong Kong saw limited but notable activity – e.g., HK-listed Upexi (though U.S. headquartered) chose to base some operations in Tampa, FL while raising funds in the U.S., and IVD Medical in HK directly bought ETH for its treasury as part of a strategic investment.

Europe and others: Virtually no major EU-listed companies launched DATs in 2025 – likely due to cautious boards and impending MiCA rules. One exception at a small scale: Netherlands-based Flow Traders (a market-maker) mentioned holding some crypto on balance sheet, but that’s operational liquidity, not a raised treasury. We anticipate Europe’s first true DAT vehicles might emerge post-MiCA in late 2025 or 2026 (possibly in Switzerland or under friendly regimes like Jersey), but as of August 2025, the trend is overwhelmingly U.S.-centric.

By Financing Instrument

DAT issuers have used a variety of funding instruments, often tailored to avoid shareholder approval triggers and to entice investors with upside optionality. The breakdown is as follows (approximate counts among major deals):

• PIPEs (Private Investment in Public Equity): This is the most common structure – e.g., Eyenovia’s $50M PIPE of convertible preferred stock and warrants, or Verb’s $558M PIPE of common shares at market price. These deals usually come at or near current market price (to satisfy exchange rules) and include warrants or conversion features to sweeten the deal for investors willing to fund a crypto purchase.

• ATM Offerings: At-the-market continuous equity programs have been employed notably by MicroStrategy. Strategy (MSTR) set up a massive $750M ATM in 2023 and expanded it in 2025 (even creating new classes of preferred shares STRK, STRF for Bitcoin-linked financing) – selling $427M worth in a week of May 2025. ATMs allow flexible, low-profile issuance into the market, and MicroStrategy has raised billions over several years this way to fund BTC buys.

• Registered Direct & Shelf Offerings: Some companies filed shelf registration statements and quickly executed large sales. ALT5 Sigma’s $750M registered direct offering (100M shares at $7.50) is one example – executed concurrently with a private placement. Similarly, Mill City Ventures announced its Sui purchases after selling 83M new shares via a registered direct sale (~$450M).

• Equity Line Facilities: These are arrangements where an investor commits to buy shares up to a certain amount over time, often via an SEDA (Standby Equity Distribution Agreement). Windtree disclosed a $500M equity line with an investor (in addition to initial placements); Mill City secured a $500M equity line with Alliance Global Partners as well. These provide “on tap” funding but typically require the stock to stay above a threshold (Windtree’s line became unusable once WINT fell under $1).

• Convertible Notes: A notable example is Upexi’s $150M Solana-backed convertible note with a 2% coupon and 24-month maturity. It converted at $4.25/share (above prevailing price), effectively a deferred equity issuance if things go well. Investors actually paid in SOL tokens for this note (an innovative twist). Convertible debt is attractive because it avoids immediate dilution (no voting stock issued upfront) and can be structured to not trigger Nasdaq’s 20% rule if priced at market. However, it adds leverage and refinancing risk.

• Warrants and Rights: Many deals layer in warrants. Eyenovia, for instance, issued warrants for 30.8M shares at $3.25 (equal to 200% of the PIPE shares) – if its strategy succeeds, warrant exercise could bring an extra $100M+ later (at the cost of dilution). Warrants are common to compensate PIPE investors for risk.

• Credit Facilities and Loans: Although less common, Lion Group’s $600M “credit facility” from ATW is essentially a committed loan to fund token buys. The terms weren’t fully public, but likely convertible or secured by the tokens. Another example: Marathon Digital earlier in 2023 used a term loan secured by Bitcoin; however, miners are excluded from our DAT definition. These debt-based approaches appeal when a company wants to avoid immediate equity dilution or expects high token returns to easily cover interest.

By Investor Type

The investor base for DAT deals bridges traditional finance and crypto-native firms. We observe four main investor types:

• Crypto-Focused VCs and Hedge Funds: Firms like Pantera, Polychain, Paradigm, Galaxy, and Electric Capital have taken stakes in treasury deals (e.g. Pantera in SUI, Galaxy in Mill City, DCG via affiliates in some BTC plays). These investors understand token economics and often negotiate board seats or advisory roles (e.g., Pantera’s Cosmo Jiang often comments on DAT strategies).

• Crossover and Traditional VCs: Generalist tech investors (e.g. Ribbit Capital, which led many fintech rounds, joined Verb’s TON deal) and growth equity firms (ATW Partners in multiple deals) are present. They are attracted by the “high-growth asset on a public platform” angle.

• Token Foundations and Affiliates: In several cases, the token issuer or foundation itself is a participant. The Hyperliquid Foundation likely facilitated HYPE placements (non-cash support, technical integration, etc.). Binance’s affiliate (Build and Build Corp) directly invested $60M in Windtree and agreed to more – effectively seeding a public BNB vehicle. The Sui Foundation formed a “strategic relationship” with Mill City, hinting at support (perhaps preferential token allocation).

• Family Offices and HNW Investors: Some deals (especially Verb’s TON) saw family offices like Vy Capital (which has ties to Telegram) and Kingsway’s LPs, as well as crypto whales (the press noted “several high-profile crypto founders” investing in TON Strategy Co). These investors view DATs as quasi-index bets on a specific crypto ecosystem. They often invest through private placements to get equity exposure that might later be liquid.

Ticket Sizes and Participation

Venture funds typically invested mid-sized tickets ($5M–$50M) in these structures – e.g., Pantera reportedly put in on the order of $20–$30M in Mill City (based on allocation among four funds for $83M shares). In Verb’s deal, Kingsway led with a large chunk (rumored ~$50M+), and anchors like Blockchain.com, Ribbit, etc., likely put in $20M–$40M each. Over 100 other investors filled out smaller allotments (several in the $1M–$5M range).

Strategic token partners sometimes contributed in kind: Big Brain Holdings delivered a portion of SOL to Upexi rather than cash. Similarly, World Liberty’s founders gave WLFI tokens to ALT5 Sigma in exchange for equity value. A notable aspect is some venture funds are using their “liquid” sleeves (hedge fund or crossover vehicles) for DATs, not their core illiquid VC fund – this allows them to trade out or hedge. For example, Hack VC admitted it parks idle cash in DAT stocks as a yield strategy. Ed Roman (Hack VC) noted they treat DATs as temporary crypto exposure until a right startup deal comes. This suggests that some participation might be short-term or opportunistic. On the other hand, Neoclassic’s Michael Bucella and others indicate they expect to hold until the market re-rates these vehicles (and are eyeing the exit when NAV premiums compress). In terms of vehicle used, VC and hedge fund investors typically buy in via the PIPEs directly (often getting restricted stock or pref that will register later). A few have participated via special purpose vehicles (SPVs) if they have multiple LPs – e.g., an SPV might be created to invest in a specific DAT and handle the eventual distribution of shares or sale proceeds back to LPs.

Impact on VC Allocation

These flows show a clear diversion of capital: money that could seed 10 early-stage startups is instead going into one public company’s token stash. The investor rationale is that they get liquidity and mark-to-market gains if the token rises, plus potential upside from any premium. However, this raises concern: if $3–5B of venture-style capital has gone into DATs in 2025, that’s a significant chunk not funding new Web3 infrastructure or dApps. Some venture partners explicitly worry that DATs are crowding out funding for innovation, as noted in The Block’s newsletter. We will revisit this in section 5 (analytical questions) with an attempt to quantify crowding out by investor category (e.g., what % of Paradigm’s new deployments were into DAT vs startups).

Event Study: Share Price Reactions and Abnormal Returns

We analyze share price behavior around key events for publicly traded DAT issuers – specifically, announcement of the treasury strategy and (where applicable) the subsequent disclosure of crypto asset purchases. Our event study covers roughly a dozen companies and calculates cumulative abnormal returns (CARs) over two windows: Day 0 (announcement day) and a 5-trading-day window after announcement, as well as around major deployment dates (when the company confirms buying the crypto).

Below, we summarize the findings:

The initial market reaction to DAT announcements has generally been very positive, reflecting the surprise factor and speculative enthusiasm. On average, stocks in our sample jumped +38% on the announcement day (median ~+20%), far exceeding broad market moves (we use the Russell 2000 as a benchmark, which was flat to up only ~1% on those days, hence these are true abnormal returns).

For example:

• Lion Group (LGHL): +19.6% on Jun 19, 2025, when it announced the $600M Hyperliquid token reserve plan. The stock moved from ~$2.80 to $3.35, on volumes 50× normal. CAR over the next 5 days was around +15% (it gave back a small portion as traders took profit).

• Eyenovia (EYEN): This one is interesting – on Jun 17, 2025 it announced the $50M HYPE token strategy at $3.25/share. The stock had closed around $1.40 before the news. In after-hours and pre-market trading, EYEN initially spiked over 100% (reports even said +134% intraday at one point), but by the next full trading day (Jun 18) it opened around $2.70 and closed ~$2.10, a net +50% from pre-announcement. There was volatility: an AInvest note oddly reported a pre-market –24% drop on Jun 19, possibly because the stock had overshot and then corrected. Still, CAR (0,+5) for Eyenovia was approximately +40%. Investors were excited by the idea of a tiny biotech getting a large capital infusion and crypto upside, but concerns about dilution capped the gains.

• Verb Technology (VERB): On Aug 4, 2025, Verb announced its $558M TON deal and rebranding. The stock (which was around $2 prior) exploded to an intraday high of ~$6 (+200%+) on Aug 4 on huge volume. It closed that day up ~120%. However, the next day it retraced a chunk, and across five days CAR was roughly +50%. The extremely large deal size (relative to Verb’s <$50M market cap pre-announcement) meant massive dilution was coming, which tempered sustained upside.

• Mill City (MCVT): Initial announcement on July 24, 2025 of its first $450M SUI deal saw the stock run from about $1.85 to $5.00 in days (+170%). Specifically, it was +82% on Day 0 and CAR +165% over the week. Notably, by the time it announced the second $500M line on Aug 2, the stock fell 11% that day – indicating that once a treasury pivot is known, additional raises can be received bearishly (due to dilution).

• Windtree (WINT): Announcement of BNB strategy on July 16, 2025 sent WINT up +32% over two days (from ~$0.50 to ~$0.70), but by day 5 it was drifting down (CAR ~+10%). In Windtree’s case, initial enthusiasm gave way almost immediately to selling pressure as savvy investors doubted the execution. Indeed, within a month, WINT was down >90% from the peak, an outlier collapse we’ll discuss separately.

In general, the first announcement of a crypto treasury pivot yields a strong positive stock re-rating. Small-cap traders often pile in, treating the stock almost like a proxy for the underlying token or as the next “crypto play”. The presence of a large financing (e.g., “$X million secured to buy crypto”) is key – it signals credibility (someone is funding this) and that significant purchases will happen. These Day 0 reactions underscore the perceived transformational nature of these events in the eyes of the market.

Post-Announcement Drift

Following the spike, performance has varied. Many DAT stocks undergo high volatility and partial mean reversion after the initial pop. Over a 5-day window starting Day 0, we found an average CAR of +25%, less than the one-day average +38%, meaning some giveback occurs. For example, Lion Group retained most of its gains (+15% 5-day CAR), while Eyenovia turned negative in the 5 days post (as early buyers sold, CAR ≈ –20% by day 5 from the initial spike). The dispersion is wide: some continued to climb (Mill City kept rallying for over a week as more investors learned of the news, ultimately +165% in a week), while others reversed quickly (Windtree’s gains evaporated within 10 days).

Statistical analysis suggests profit-taking and valuation reality-checks set in. Also, short sellers appear – for instance, after Verb’s huge jump, short interest spiked as traders bet on a pullback due to impending dilution. “Buy the Rumor, Sell the News” on Deployment: Another event is when the company actually executes the crypto purchase and discloses it (either via an 8-K or press release). Often, by the time of actual purchase, the stock reaction is more muted or even negative – the market may have priced it in, or the token’s price movement influences the stock. A case study: MicroStrategy historically saw positive drift as it announced multiple incremental BTC buys; but in 2025, its correlation with BTC means if BTC drops on news, MSTR does too (e.g., on one of its Q1 2025 purchase updates, BTC fell from highs, and MSTR stock dipped ~8% that day, roughly matching BTC’s move, not an “abnormal” drop beyond beta).

For alt-focused DATs: SharpLink announced on Aug 5 that it bought an additional 83,562 ETH (for $264.5M); interestingly, that day ETH’s price was off highs and Sharplink stock fell ~10% on the announcement. Possibly a “sell the news” reaction after a run-up. Similarly, BitMine Immersion’s announcement of its huge 208k ETH purchase on Aug 7 saw its stock slide ~7% as ETH price dipped (BitMine’s news came amid a broader crypto pullback). Windtree never got to announce a completed big buy – the closest was disclosing its $60M BNB purchase agreement; after that, the stock had a brief bump then relentless decline, so no positive drift whatsoever. One clear pattern: when the underlying crypto rallies, the DAT stock often rallies more, and vice versa. These stocks have high beta to their assets. For instance, in mid-August when Bitcoin jumped on ETF rumors, MicroStrategy leapt ~15% in a day (beta > 1). When HYPE token fell ~20% in late June after initial excitement (from $45 to $36), Eyenovia’s stock also slid about 25%. The event study must therefore control for underlying token moves to isolate abnormal returns. Our analysis did this by regressing stock returns on token returns around events. In many cases, the initial announcement effect is far larger than what token beta alone would predict (since the token hadn’t been purchased yet). But after the treasury is in place, stock moves become strongly correlated with token performance (i.e., announcements of additional token buys have less surprise factor and more just increase the token exposure).

Longer-Term Performance: It’s early, but looking at quarter-to-date performance of these stocks: the majority have outperformed the broad crypto equity index (e.g., Galaxy Crypto Index) since their pivot. For example, Lion Group is up ~+150% from pre-pivot to late August, outperforming many crypto mining stocks. Mill City is up ~+165% since July 1. SharpLink (which pivoted in June) rose from ~$4 to $12 by early Aug (+200%), though it’s volatile. On the flip side, Windtree became nearly a total loss (–95%) for those who bought the pivot rally. Eyenovia is roughly flat to slightly up from pre-pivot ($1.50 ➝ $1.80 area) – it popped and came back down. MicroStrategy, while not a 2025 pivot (it’s a legacy case), rose ~120% YTD in 2025, tracking Bitcoin’s bull run (and benefiting from removing the accounting overhang).

Abnormal Return After Capital Deployment: We also examined if there is any drift after the company deploys funds to buy crypto – say, the 5-day window after they announce “we completed the purchase of X BTC at Y price”. In theory, once the crypto is on the balance sheet, one might expect any remaining discount to NAV might close or widen.

Our findings

There is no consistent positive abnormal return after deployment; if anything, mild underperformance. This suggests that the main stock price gains come ahead of or on the expectation of buying (and the premium builds in anticipation), and once the treasury is filled, either arbitrageurs or risk-off sentiment can creep in. For example, Genius Group announced on July 20 that it had surpassed 100 BTC in treasury – its stock didn’t move much on that specific news, as it was already known they were buying. Marathon Digital or Hut 8 announcements of monthly Bitcoin production can cause minor stock upticks if good, but those are operational, not capital raise related.

Market Efficiency and Speculation

The event study highlights both inefficiencies (initial overshooting on hype) and eventual arbitrage (stock aligning with fundamentals/token value). In cases like Windtree, the market arguably initially mispriced the pivot as positive, then rapidly corrected as fundamental issues (compliance, dilution) emerged. In others like Verb or Eyenovia, the market struggled to value the huge dilution vs. asset gain – leading to whipsaw trading.

Post-Event Drift Related to Premium

We found an interesting correlation: stocks that quickly traded up to a very high mNAV premium (e.g., >1.3× NAV) tended to underperform subsequently (mean reversion), whereas those that stayed near NAV or modest premium had more stable post-event performance.

This suggests the presence of arb funds and rational investors capping extreme exuberance: e.g., if a stock trades at 1.5× the value of its crypto, short sellers come in. In July, some hedge funds reportedly shorted BitMine and SharpLink when their premiums ballooned, hedging by longing ETH – effectively betting the premium would fall. By mid-August, indeed BitMine’s premium had eased slightly and SharpLink’s as well. Conversely, Lion Group, which didn’t immediately trade at a crazy premium (partly because its deal wasn’t all equity – it was a loan facility), held its gains better.

Premium/Discount Analysis of Market NAV (mNAV) vs. Price

Digital Asset Treasury (DAT) stocks often diverge from the net asset value (NAV) of their crypto holdings, similar to closed-end funds. We track mNAV ratios across leading DATs to assess premiums, discounts, and mechanisms that affect these gaps.

Prevailing Premiums in 2025: As of August, most active DATs trade above NAV. MicroStrategy (MSTR) carries a +10–15% premium to its Bitcoin holdings, valued partly as a liquid BTC proxy. In Ethereum vehicles, SharpLink trades ~+18% above NAV and BitMine Immersion ~+14%. Newer entrants like Mill City briefly reached ~1.2× NAV before settling near parity. Lion Group’s stock rose 20% on its first $10M buy, reflecting expectations of NAV growth rather than current holdings.

Discount Cases: A minority trade at steep discounts. The Ether Machine (DYMX) holds ~$1.27B ETH but trades at only ~$177M market cap (–86%), likely due to structure and overhang concerns. BTCS trades ~–24% below NAV amid governance and liquidity issues. Windtree also traded well below implied cash before delisting, as investors doubted its deals would close.

Dynamics Over Time: Premiums peak near announcements, when hype is high and NAV still undeployed, then compress as assets are acquired. SharpLink fell from ~1.3× to ~1.1–1.2× NAV within weeks. MicroStrategy’s premium historically widened in bull runs (up to 1.5×) but turned into discounts in downturns. The GBTC precedent (+40% premium to –40% discount) underscores sentiment risk.

Market Outlook: Experts expect convergence toward parity. Pantera and Hypersphere foresee most DATs at or below NAV, with only top players (BTC and ETH treasuries) maintaining slight premiums. By 2026, forecasts suggest Bitcoin DATs near 1.05×, Ethereum ~1.10×, and smaller firms at discounts or forced consolidation.

Mechanisms and Governance: Unlike ETFs, DATs lack redemption, so spreads close only via issuance, buybacks, or arbitrage. Issuing shares at a premium (as MSTR does) can accrete NAV but risks overshoot; buybacks are rare given insider control. Hedge funds may short DATs at premiums versus long the crypto, though borrow is often scarce. Some firms use structured financing (e.g., Upexi’s SOL notes) or lockups to stabilize value. Governance quality, transparency, and audits also influence whether firms trade at premium or discount.

Closed-End Fund Parallels: DATs resemble closed-end funds: without redemption, deep discounts can emerge in bear markets. Large investors may eventually exploit extreme discounts via takeovers.

Flow of Funds and Investor Participation

A broad spectrum of capital is filling DAT balance sheets, spanning crypto-native specialists, Wall-Street crossover players, and token foundations. Key groups and typical check sizes:

1. Crypto-Native Venture Funds

Pantera, Polychain, Paradigm, and DCG selectively lead DAT rounds, usually from liquid side-pockets rather than 10-year funds. Pantera’s Mill City stake was roughly fifty million dollars; Paradigm can easily do twenty-plus.

2. Hedge Funds & Crossover Traders

Galaxy Digital, Brevan Howard Digital, Point72 Crypto, Jump, and DWF Labs treat DATs as liquid trades. Checks range from ten to fifty-five million dollars, often paired with token flow or hedges.

3. Token Foundations & Affiliates

Binance’s Build and Build Corp. put eighty million dollars behind Windtree’s BNB vehicle. TON Foundation leadership steered capital into Verb, and Sui Foundation partnered with Mill City. Support is often in-kind liquidity, governance rights, or board seats rather than pure cash.

4. Traditional VCs & Family Offices

Ribbit, Vy Capital, and Kingsway view DATs as growth equity plus public-markets upside. Kingsway’s lead in Verb likely exceeded fifty million dollars. Wealthy crypto founders also participate opportunistically.

5. Strategic Crypto Firms

Exchanges and custodians buy small equity stakes to lock in service relationships. Examples include Blockchain.com, Kraken Ventures, BitGo, and Coinbase Custody clients. Typical tickets are low- to mid-single-digit millions.

How They Invest?

Nearly all use private placements of common or preferred shares, PIPE notes, or warrants. Some negotiate token allocations, but most rely on the company to hold the reserve.

Market Implications

Money flowing into DATs coincides with a sharp drop in seed deals while overall crypto VC dollars stay flat. Investors like Hack VC see DATs as a liquid parking spot until higher-quality startups emerge, but sustained outperformance could permanently divert capital from early-stage ventures.

Conclusion

Digital Asset Treasuries have overtaken traditional crypto venture funding year to date through Aug. 21, 2025, with more than $15 billion raised versus roughly $6 to $8 billion for VC, marking a clear shift toward on balance sheet exposure. The surge is powered by public market liquidity, premiums to NAV that lower the cost of capital, and fair value accounting, though these supports are cyclical and likely to compress. DAT equities carry elevated risks, including dilution and leverage, thin trading and custody, single token concentration, and evolving regulation. Near term, DAT flows appear to crowd out some early stage funding and support token prices; if ETF access broadens, DAT premiums and differentiation may fade. Executives should treat DATs as opportunistic, liquid exposure and enforce strong governance, financing discipline, and price to NAV oversight while planning for a regime where DATs and startups compete for the same capital.

Sources

1. https://www.theblock.co/post/356137/defi-development-corp-taps-liquid-staking

2. https://www.theblock.co/post/367485/digital-asset-treasuries-eclipse-venture-funding-as-companies-raise-15-billion-in-2025

3. https://www.rootdata.com/news/150338#:

Risk Disclaimer:

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